My own experience with Rawdon Jester says to "go with the flow" and I wouldn't decrease watering yet. I believe it's actually a bit early for the 'winter rest' anyway, though here in New Mexico there is probably more light in my northern exposure green house than indoors in the U.K. For me the winter rest means to cut back on watering after December 1st. My first season with this orchid saw new growth, but no spike (I now believe the Rawdon Jester needed more light to spike). This last late summer saw a spike develop and it is growing nicely with a regular watering/fertlizing schedule. Watch your plant closely, but playing it safe would mean no withholding of water yet. Hope this information helps you. AL