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I don't think you can use the word guarantee !. A friend of mine started specialising in phal stem props, maybe 20 or 30 years ago, before phals were sold at every shop in town ; after a few years I persuaded him to give a talk to a local Orchid Society , and one of the facts he came out with, was that in his first year he had a success rate in single figures - like 7% ; five years later it was up to 75% , but he had no idea what he was doing different - just practice. But it never got to 100% I think - but it has to be remembered that the stems are not always taken at the ideal time or under ideal conditions , which would be a factor.